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8

Kupuna

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 112

Keeneland · Race 10 - Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -5.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Churchill Downs 03/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 114 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 114 par3/05C5OR 114C6 @ Churchill Downs 01/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 112 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 112 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 111 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark05/07/2025 · OR 111 par5/07C5OR 111C6 @ Churchill Downs 28/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 110 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 110 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 113 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 113 par7/11C6OR 113C5 @ Fair Grounds 20/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 117 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 117 parC5 @ Fair Grounds 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 118 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 118 par17/01C5OR 118C1 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 115 · 1m1f Fm 122 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 115 parBHA114 @ Saratoga 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 114 · 1m110y Gd 124 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 114 par3/09114OR 114projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03SaratogaBHA1141st14th−11
2026-02-14Fair Grounds?3rd4th−0
2026-01-17Fair Grounds?1st6th−4
2025-12-20Fair Grounds?2nd7th−4
2025-11-07Churchill Downs?1st7th−5
2025-09-28Churchill Downs?4th10th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0528/0917/013/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20253rd4/179%82%+0.03
01/06/20256th11/271%17%-0.54
05/07/20254th13/266%57%-0.09
28/09/20254th8/158%40%-0.18
07/11/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
20/12/20252nd6/492%83%-0.09
17/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
14/02/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04
03/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63