6
Plensa
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 102
Keeneland · Race 10 - Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2025-11-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Keeneland | ? | 11th | 12th | −0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/10/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |