3
Never A Doubt
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 80
Keeneland · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | BHA91 | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -49.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 50% | -0.47 |