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4

Never Sleep

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 85

Keeneland · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f Fm 1195/07C6C6 @ Ellis Park 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 85 par2/08C6OR 85C5 @ Kentucky Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 90 · 6f110y Fm 118 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 90 par29/08C5OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Kentucky Downs?5th5th0
2026-08-02Ellis Park?1st2nd−1
2026-07-05Colonial Downs?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/072/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 32/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -9.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20262nd6/492%75%-0.17
02/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
29/08/20265th5/287%50%-0.37