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9

Charm Of Venice

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 9 · OR 95

Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 18/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f30y Yie 12818/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1299/01C8C8 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12920/06C8C1 @ Kentucky Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m2f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 84 par9/09C1OR 84projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kentucky Downs?6th1st+4
2026-06-20Down Royal?1st5th−3
2026-01-09Dundalk?5th9th−3
2025-10-18Leopardstown?9th13th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/109/0120/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20259th25/10%33%+0.33
09/01/20265th50/10%69%+0.69
20/06/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
09/09/20266th16/116%38%+0.22