8

Classic Glide

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 97

Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Keeneland 22/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 119 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 88 par22/10C6OR 88C7 @ Churchill Downs 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 86 parC0 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 87 par14/02C?OR 87C1 @ Oaklawn Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 87 parC5 @ Keeneland 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m1f110y Fm 118 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 89 par18/04C5OR 89C7 @ Churchill Downs 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 88 par14/06C7OR 88C5 @ Ellis Park 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 92 · 1m1f Yie 118 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 94 · 1m4f 118 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 94 par3/09C5OR 94projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kentucky Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-19Ellis Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-14Churchill Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-05-23Churchill Downs?3rd5th−2
2026-04-18Keeneland?6th6th0
2026-03-01Oaklawn Park?7th2nd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/101/0314/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
23/11/20252nd9/276%86%+0.09
14/02/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
01/03/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
18/04/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
23/05/20263rd2/189%71%-0.18
14/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
19/07/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
03/09/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06