2
Temple Goddess
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 99
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |