7
Winning Streep
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 99
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 04/01/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 04/08/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |