1
Autodrive
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 106
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 61/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -14.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/12/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |