Lips Say Bliss
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 107
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2024 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 21/11/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 09/03/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 11/05/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 08/06/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |