Touch Of Destiny
5yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 72
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2025-06-01 | Maronas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Maronas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/03/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 17/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |