Bullard
4yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 105
Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/01/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 12/04/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 18/05/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |