8

Can't Hush This

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 100

Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 23/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m 121 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 103 par23/11C6OR 103C5 @ Turfway Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 104 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 104 parC6 @ Turfway Park 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 104 · 6f 120 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 104 par22/01C6OR 104C6 @ Turfway Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 101 · 1m 124 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 17/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 104 · 7f Slo 121 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 104 par17/05C6OR 104C8 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 106 · 7f110y 118 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 106 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 103 · 7f Slo 121 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 103 par27/06C6OR 103C6 @ Ellis Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 100 · 6f Slo 122 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 100 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 102 · 7f110y 121 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 102 par13/09C8OR 102projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Churchill Downs?3rd5th−2
2026-08-01Ellis Park?4th4th0
2026-06-27Churchill Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-13Churchill Downs?2nd4th−2
2026-05-17Churchill Downs?10th10th0
2026-03-07Turfway Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/117/0327/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength32%

Delivery trend +6.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20255th3/184%43%-0.41
20/12/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
22/01/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
07/03/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
17/05/202610th12/137%10%-0.27
13/06/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
27/06/20264th25/10%73%+0.73
01/08/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
13/09/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10