10

Who Dey

5yo Horse · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 106

Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼3
Strength95%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Churchill Downs 09/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2024 · OR 100 par9/06C1OR 100C1 @ Ellis Park 11/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 102 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/08/2024 · OR 102 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 26/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 102 · 1m2f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/10/2024 · OR 102 par26/10C5OR 102C1 @ Churchill Downs 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 102 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 102 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 1m2f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 97 par25/10C5OR 97C0 @ Churchill Downs 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m1f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 103 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 107 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 107 par2/05C6OR 107C1 @ Churchill Downs 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 110 · 1m1f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 110 parC5 @ Thistledown 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 106 · 1m2f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 106 par8/08C5OR 106projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Thistledown?2nd1st+1
2026-05-30Churchill Downs?2nd-4th+5
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-11-28Churchill Downs?4th-2th+5
2025-10-25Mahoning Valley?1st0th+1
2025-09-27Churchill Downs?4th-2th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0627/092/058/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20242nd11/893%86%-0.07
11/08/20243rd13/891%50%-0.41
26/10/20241st4/998%100%+0.02
27/09/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
25/10/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
28/11/20254th33/10%57%+0.57
02/05/20263rd11/486%85%-0.01
30/05/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
08/08/20262nd2/999%86%-0.13