10
Doncho
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 10 · OR 108
Keeneland · Race 6 - Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲3
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 13th | 18th | −4 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 13/06/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 18/04/2026 | 13th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |