2
Mondogetsbuckets
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 112
Keeneland · Race 6 - Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |