8
My Boy Prince
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 8 · OR 107
Keeneland · Race 6 - Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |