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3

No Nay Hudson

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 117

Keeneland · Race 6 - Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

45%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Keeneland 25/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 105 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark25/10/2024 · OR 105 par25/10C5OR 105C5 @ Fair Grounds 15/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 110 · 5f110y Fm 118 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 110 parC5 @ Keeneland 18/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 112 · 5f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark18/04/2025 · OR 112 par18/04C5OR 112C5 @ Pimlico 17/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 111 · 5f Gd 122 · below its mark17/05/2025 · OR 111 parC3 @ Del Mar 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 110 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 110 par31/08C3OR 110C0 @ Woodbine 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 113 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 113 parC5 @ Del Mar 30/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 111 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 111 par30/11C5OR 111C0 @ Keeneland 04/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 115 · 5f110y Fm 124 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 115 parC2 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 12322/08C2projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Del Mar?2nd4th−2
2026-04-04Keeneland?7th7th0
2025-11-30Del Mar?6th11th−4
2025-10-04Woodbine?1st1st0
2025-08-31Del Mar?4th7th−3
2025-05-17Pimlico?2nd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1017/0530/1122/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20242nd3/184%89%+0.05
15/02/20254th7/491%50%-0.41
18/04/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
17/05/20252nd3/184%83%-0.01
31/08/20254th12/137%73%+0.36
04/10/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
30/11/20256th13/266%44%-0.21
04/04/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
22/08/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33