5
Okiro
5yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 108
Keeneland · Race 6 - Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |