
Script
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 109
Keeneland · Race 6 - Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 12th | −5 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-10-18 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 22/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |