7

Echo Sound

4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 101

Keeneland · Race 7 - Thoroughbred Club Of America Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 12/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark12/09/2024 · OR 85 par12/09C6OR 85C5 @ Keeneland 25/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark25/10/2024 · OR 95 parC5 @ Churchill Downs 30/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 95 · 6f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark30/11/2024 · OR 95 par30/11C5OR 95C1 @ Pimlico 16/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark16/05/2025 · OR 95 parC1 @ Saratoga 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 99 · 6f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 99 par3/07C1OR 99C0 @ Saratoga 02/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 105 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 105 parC1 @ Churchill Downs 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 107 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 107 par20/09C1OR 107C5 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 102 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 102 parC0 @ Saratoga 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 96 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 96 par29/08C?OR 96projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Saratoga?4th4th+0
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?1st6th−4
2025-09-20Churchill Downs?7th7th−0
2025-08-02Saratoga?6th6th+0
2025-07-03Saratoga?1st1st−0
2025-05-16Pimlico?1st1st−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0916/0520/0929/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20241st1/195%100%+0.05
25/10/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
30/11/20242nd2/189%89%-0.01
16/05/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
03/07/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
02/08/20256th15/890%29%-0.62
20/09/20257th7/282%0%-0.82
18/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
29/08/20264th12/137%63%+0.26