Praying
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 7 - Thoroughbred Club Of America Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 24/05/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |