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7

Love You Anyway

4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 95

Keeneland · Race 8 - First Lady Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲4
Strength11%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 09/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Fm 1189/02C6C1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Keeneland 17/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 100 par17/04C6OR 100C5 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 107 · 1m Gd 118 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 107 parC5 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 106 par24/10C5OR 106C1 @ Aqueduct 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 106 parC1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 31/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 106 par31/01C1OR 106C5 @ Keeneland 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 107 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 107 parBHA96 @ Ellis Park 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 96 · 1m 122 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 96 par2/0896OR 96projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Ellis ParkBHA961st12th−9
2026-04-08Keeneland?1st7th−5
2026-01-31Tampa Bay Downs?10th11th−0
2025-11-23Aqueduct?2nd3rd−0
2025-10-24Keeneland?3rd9th−5
2025-09-06Kentucky Downs?2nd8th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/026/0931/012/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
08/03/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
17/04/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
06/09/20252nd5/287%91%+0.04
24/10/20253rd13/266%82%+0.16
23/11/20252nd14/126%83%+0.57
31/01/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
08/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
02/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53