1
Coach Pope
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 100
Keeneland · Race 9 - Claiborne Breeders' Futurity - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -47.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |