4

Title Worthy

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 90

Keeneland · Race 9 - Claiborne Breeders' Futurity - Grade 1 · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -5.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Ellis Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f Slo 1191/08C7C5 @ Churchill Downs 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 83 par11/09C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Churchill Downs?1st7th−5
2026-08-01Ellis Park?1st9th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +13.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
11/09/20261st6/168%100%+0.32