1
Bad Boy Blaze
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |