8

Double Miles

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 67

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m39y 119 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 61 par15/03C9OR 61C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 58 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 75 par2/05C7OR 75C7 @ Delaware Park 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Penn National 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 75 par24/06C8OR 75C7 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m 117 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 75 par8/08C8OR 75C8 @ Delaware Park 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m 119 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Meadowlands 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 72 · 1m 120 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 72 par19/09C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Meadowlands?4th4th0
2026-09-09Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-08-08Delaware Park?8th8th0
2026-07-24Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-06-24Penn National?4th4th0
2026-06-04Delaware Park?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/034/068/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
01/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
02/05/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17
04/06/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
24/06/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
24/07/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
08/08/20268th4/179%0%-0.79
09/09/20266th10/382%17%-0.66
19/09/20264th7/282%25%-0.57