7
Dynaflame
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 71
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |