Grey Biggsy
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 33% | -0.62 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |