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3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 66
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |