Runningonhighlevel
3yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 9 · OR 55
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |