Extra Special

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼1

Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-23	Colonial Downs	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-07-21	Delaware Park	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-06-27	Laurel Park	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-06-19	Laurel Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 58/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength70%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/06/2026	5th	10/1	47%	43%	-0.05
27/06/2026	4th	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34
21/07/2026	7th	33/1	0%	14%	+0.14
23/08/2026	6th	16/1	16%	29%	+0.13