1
Feather Wish
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 1
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |