Divine Child
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-01-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-12-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 26/10/2024 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 10/11/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/12/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 24/01/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 14/02/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |