5

Executive Order

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 71

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 07/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 85 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/12/2024 · OR 85 par7/12C5OR 85C7 @ Aqueduct 26/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark26/04/2025 · OR 74 parC6 @ Saratoga 08/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 81 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 81 par8/06C6OR 81C5 @ Saratoga 03/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 78 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 84 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 84 par16/10C6OR 84C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 93 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 93 par9/05C6OR 93C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 126 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Saratoga 23/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 77 par23/07C8OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Saratoga?10th11th−1
2026-06-26Belmont At The Big A?5th6th−1
2026-05-09Monmouth Park?5th4th+1
2025-11-01Belmont At The Big A?9th7th+2
2025-10-16Belmont At The Big A?7th6th+1
2025-08-03Saratoga?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/123/089/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20247th11/271%0%-0.71
26/04/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
08/06/20259th4/179%20%-0.59
03/08/20258th25/10%0%0.00
16/10/20257th40/10%14%+0.14
01/11/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
09/05/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
26/06/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
23/07/202610th16/116%0%-0.16