6
Golden Descent
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |