Marcan Love
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |