1
Master Schemer
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 81
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |