Biggerthanbigtime
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2024-10-19 | Far Hills | BHA62 | +2 | ||
| 2024-09-30 | Roscommon | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-08-05 | Naas | BHA67 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2024-06-28 | Curragh | BHA68 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2024-01-29 | Punchestown | BHA112 | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2023 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/10/2023 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 28/10/2023 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 25/11/2023 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 29/01/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/06/2024 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 05/08/2024 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2024 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |