Firestreak
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -17.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |