I Am Pepe

3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 8

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼2

Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Colonial Downs	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-08-16	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-24	Colonial Downs	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-12 · tight 71/100

▬ RUNS TO FORM

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/07/2026	8th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
16/08/2026	3rd	13/2	66%	80%	+0.14
07/09/2026	9th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16