Napisonmyagenda
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |