6

Bellablaze

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 77

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Smart Halo Stakes · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1193/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13