Harper's Corner
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 98
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Smart Halo Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 1.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |