IvyArcIvyArc
2

Daenerys

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 90

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 22/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f110y 11822/05C9C6 @ Colonial Downs 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 73 par25/06C6OR 73C6 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 80 par12/07C6OR 80C6 @ Colonial Downs 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 6f Fm 119 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 84 par6/08C6OR 84C5 @ Colonial Downs 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 88 par4/09C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-06Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-07-12Colonial Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-25Colonial Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-22Laurel Park?2nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0525/0612/076/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 80/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20262nd7/491%75%-0.16
25/06/20262nd4/797%75%-0.22
12/07/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
06/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
04/09/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11