4
Sweet Honey Bee
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |