3
The Magic Ofmovies
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 66/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |