4
Walt's Notion
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 81
Laurel Park · Race 6 - James F. Lewis III Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -20.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |