And Sum
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |