Ennis Town
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |